“Scenario-response”-based emergency decision-making mechanism of mine water inrush disaster

Authors

LIAN Huiqing, College of Safety Engineering,North China Institute of Science and Technology, Yanjiao 065201, China
YANG Junwen, College of Safety Engineering, North China Institute of Science and Technology, Yanjiao 065201, China
HAN Ruigang, College of Safety Engineering, North China Institute of Science and Technology, Yanjiao 065201, China
MENG Lu, College of Safety Engineering, North China Institute of Science and Technology, Yanjiao 065201, China
HAN Yong, College of Safety Engineering, North China Institute of Science and Technology, Yanjiao 065201, China

Abstract

The urgency, complexity and uncertainty of mine flood accidents determine that traditional emergency decision-making models are difficult to meet the requirements of efficient emergency rescue. Using the “scenario-response” model for emergency decision-making of mine flood accidents can effectively solve the timely real-time decision-making of specific disaster scenario after disasters occur. Using a multi-case analysis method to analyze 11 typical mine flood accidents in recent years, based on the general structural description of the accident, six elements of the mine flood scenario were summarized(inrush water source, water inrush channel, water inrush position, water output, submerged range, living space) as the scenario of mine flood accident. And AHP analysis method was used to calculate the weight of each element. A way to achieve “scenario-response” was established, the method of constructing the scenario library, the case library, the countermeasure library and the generation process of the “scenario-response” type mine flood emergency decision-making scheme were elaborated in detail. And a multi-stage mine flood accident emergency decision-making mechanism with "gold 72 hours" and "8 days 8 nights" was put forward as time nodes. Case deduction application shows that the emergency decision-making mechanism not only regulates the emergency response process, but also achieves precise, fast, and efficient goals.

Keywords

mine water inrush disaster, “scenario-response”, emergency decision, situational evolution, decision-making mechanism

DOI

10.3969/j.issn.10011986.2020.01.016

Recommended Citation

LIAN Huiqing, YANG Junwen, HAN Ruigang, et al. (2020) "“Scenario-response”-based emergency decision-making mechanism of mine water inrush disaster," Coal Geology & Exploration: Vol. 48: Iss. 1, Article 17.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.10011986.2020.01.016
Available at: https://cge.researchcommons.org/journal/vol48/iss1/17

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